What will Manifold name Lil' Basil by the end of April?
What will Manifold name Lil' Basil by the end of April?
9
690Ṁ256
resolved Jun 23
ResolvedN/A
29%Other
14%
Catnip Evergreen
13%
Spikes
11%
Lisan Al-Ghaib
10%
Mint Snow
9%
Lil' Mint
7%
Basil Bastardo
3%
Lil' Basil
1.4%
Lady Mint
1.4%
Mrs. Mint

FOR CONTEXT: It turns out Lil Basil is ACTUALLY NOT A BASIL PLANT. Yeah, I know. The whole world is in shambles. It may be a Catnip, a Mint, or something else. You can judge for yourself:

We'll resolve this to a 1-week long poll that will start at the end of April. I welcome everyone to come up with their own ideas! A LOT is at stake here.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
12mo

I give up

12mo

didn't we vote??

12mo

didn't we vote?? or did it die?

12mo

oh wait, I see the polls now. rip

12mo

Lil' Basil is actually doing pretty well in its new location in like the east-side big window! But Mr. Basil is doing even better. Market on that btw, Will Mr. Basil survive 2024?YES . Might have a market about lil basil some other time but we shall see

1y

I'll reopen this and figure out at some future date what to do about this. In other news, Lil' Basil is almost certainly going to die in the next few days. He is not well.

1y

The black death started growing on one of its leaves a week or so ago. After 2 days, that leaf fell into the pot. Now, all the leaves have black spots, and the 2 big ones are fallen. There's only two tiny ones left, both black. It's frankly pretty sad. Lil' Basil is incredibly feeble at this time. In this troubling time the Basil family appreciates any amount of prayers for Lil' Basil's battle against the.. Black Death..

1y

Round 2 of the poll, tiebreakers!

1y

Looks like people would like a third option. Lil' Basil is in limbo now

1y

@Bayesian pls send updated pictures

1y

Mr. Basil is going STRONG. Lil’ Basil, on the other hand… is having a bit of trouble.

1y

@Bayesian definitely not a tomato. Have you figured out what it is ?

1y

@Odoacre Apparently a mint. Not totally sure

1y

@Bayesian Wait wouldnt mint smell minty? I will excitedly check

1y

@Bayesian I do not smell it as minty, or anything at all really

1y

@Bayesian it's just a cute weed

1y

@Odoacre Is ‘weed’ a type of plant? 😅

1y

This was a three way draw! I literally do not know what to do about that!

1y

@Bayesian call it Lisan Spikes-Catnip

1y
1y

To be clear Lisan's out of the window, the current winners are catnip evergreen, basil bastardo and Lil' Basil.

Moreover, big upset! Some of the voters for the Lil' Basil option are banned accounts, and they don't count in my polls if I notice them. Therefore I'll make a tiebreaker poll between catnip and basil bastardo.

1y

looks like a tomato to me

1y

@Odoacre hmm upon googling the tomato leaves seem less spiky than lil' basil but you might be onto something

1y

This does look similar

1y

@Bayesian do you have an updated pic?

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy