Basic
42
23k
resolved Sep 7
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve the same as its Polymarket clone: Kamala positive favorability by Sept 6?

This is a market will resolve to “Yes”, if Kamala Harris's favorable rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than her unfavorable rating for any day between August 27 (inclusive) and September 6, 2024 (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Harris's favorable rating must be higher than her unfavorable rating, ties will not qualify.

The favorability ratings for each day must be finalized before they are considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/, specifically the favorability rating indicated by the purple "favorable" trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the favorability rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

If the 538 Kamala Harris favorability data for the stated time frame is not available by September 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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I think this market closed too early, it should be when the polymarket one closes right?

@derpy Yeah, reopening

@Bayesian I do believe it's resolved NO