On which days will I work more than 4 hours this month?
Basic
5
Ṁ9245
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
N/A
Wednesday
Resolved
N/A
Tuesday
Resolved
N/A
Monday
Resolved
YES
Thursday, March 21st
Resolved
NO
Friday, March 22nd
Resolved
YES
Saturday, March 23rd
Resolved
YES
Sunday, March 24th
Resolved
YES
Monday, March 25th
Resolved
YES
Tuesday, March 26th
Resolved
YES
Wednesday, March 27th
Resolved
NO
Thursday, March 28th
Resolved
NO
Friday, March 29th
Resolved
NO
Saturday, March 30th
Resolved
NO
Sunday, March 31st

Timezone is EST. I may resolve some options late, so an absence of resolution doesn't mean i failed a particular day's challenge. I'll leave limit orders at 70%, and not buy NO.

See the previous ones for a rough idea of my success rate. I'm going down to 4h (from 5h last time) because uh baby steps.

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day 10: there was the acx meetup in my defense and they went to our appartment and it was fun. but i should take melatonin to force myself to go to sleep before 7am

@Bayesian melatonin good. I just took mine!

@RobertCousineau ok i just took mine as well ggs

Day 9 failed, big bummer

day 8: Tough one. I went to my desk at 7:50pm to work, and got distracted by notifs til like 8:05, and then i was living in denial and working, so i worked like 4hours including going past midnight, so happy with that, but i didn't rly work 4 hours. also during the day I did non-work stuff that was good, so W day, but L objective filled. looks like i gotta start earlier than 7:50pm next time..

Btw, should i keep it open after revealing this to let ppl buy it to 0? probably not but lmk if you think so

Wednesday, March 27th
bought Ṁ2,000 Wednesday, March 27th YES

day 7: did 4 hours before 7pm, shocking

@Bayesian that's 5 days in a row! Congrats!

bought Ṁ1,000 Tuesday, March 26th YES

Day 5 was a success btw, if the YES resolution yesterday wasnt clear.

Day 6:

I rigorously proved a few theorems involving sample moments of order k, and sample central moments of order k, of random variables, including the sample mean. All these concepts make a bit more sense to me now.

The thing i didnt realize yesterday which made the proof so confusing to me was that the Xis, Xjs, etc are purposefully organized so that i != j and so on, and they re sampled from a population randomly so are assumed to be iid, so the expectation of the multiplication of XiXj is just the expectation of each multiplied together. That comes up again and again

soon gotta go to chapter 8 tho, and it scares me.. parametric point estimation

i dont understand this crap ive been stuck on this handwavy proof for an hour

@Bayesian 🧮

@Bayesian I almost solved it, will show it soon

this is so close to the solution to E(Xmean)^3. unbelievably close. there's some n's extra and a m1 that should be a mu, tho

in fact i think i see the problem. EXi is mu, not m1. wait, is it? is m1 = mu? ig m1 = n*mu? but that breaks it even more

Monday, March 25th

Im at 2h35min, and 25 pushups. march 25. wow

bought Ṁ1,000 Sunday, March 24th YES

Day 4: worked 4 hours, it was harder than I expected.. but i did all the quizes i had left to do, and looking at MLP and activation functions and stuff. gotta do the assignment in the next few days, as well as stats

@Bayesian inertia ✨

stefanieboughtṀ20Sunday, March 24th YES

@shankypanky the discord alpha

bought Ṁ20 Sunday, March 24th YES

@Bayesian 😅

but what you don't know stefanie is that I'm tryina have singular focus bc i got dinner tonight with my family so gotta be done with the work early on

@Bayesian hm @Joshua can you tempban this guy he's harassing me