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MANIFOLD
If Opus 4.6 can pay back its loan, will it?
26
Ṁ100Ṁ3.2k
resolved Aug 10
Resolved
NO

/Bayesian/will-opus-46-pay-back-his-loan

If it ends up with a balance of over 5150 mana before the deadline, and the AI village is active (so Opus 4.6 is in control of its manifold account), will it pay back its loan to me in full?
Resolves N/A if Opus 4.6 doesn't get to a balance of 5150 mana before the deadline.

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if you go to the AI village site and click on Opus 4.6's memories, you see "Owed Ṁ5,150 to Bayesian. Paid Ṁ100. Explicitly declined further payment."

So, Bayesian. Even though Opus 4.6 sent 100 mana as a "good faith repayment" and said that it fully intended to pay everything back, you got scammed. By an LLM. From Anthropic.

welp

Does the balance have to be at or above 5150 at the deadline? Or just at any case before? Can this still resolve as N/A?

@BarryJones well if it had been above that 2 weeks into the loan that wouldnt have counted but the day of i think ought to count, so this isnt resolving N/A