Are these Claude Opus 4.5 leaked benchmark scores real? | Manifold

Are these Claude Opus 4.5 leaked benchmark scores real?

8

1kṀ12k

Dec 21

1.3%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Yeah the table with all round numbers that cites incorrect Sonnet numbers must be true

People are also trading

Will Claude Opus 4.5 exceed 80% on SWE-Bench verified?

+35% 1d99% chance

Will Claude Opus 4.5 achieve a SOTA score on SWE-rebench when it is first evaluated?

+47% 1d97% chance

Have Claude Sonnet 4.5 model weights leaked before October 2025?

METR releases Claude 4.5 Opus results before Gemini 3 results?

-19% 1d31% chance

Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?

Related questions

Will Claude Opus 4.5 exceed 80% on SWE-Bench verified?

Will Claude Opus 4.5 achieve a SOTA score on SWE-rebench when it is first evaluated?

Have Claude Sonnet 4.5 model weights leaked before October 2025?

METR releases Claude 4.5 Opus results before Gemini 3 results?

Will Claude 4 achieve over 95% on the MMLU-Pro benchmark by end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy