Is the recent increase in Pneumonia cases in China caused by a novel respiratory virus?
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resolved Apr 30
Resolved
NO

According to a statement released November 22nd by the WHO, "Since mid-October, northern China has reported an increase in influenza-like illness compared to the same period in the previous three years." and "requested additional epidemiologic and clinical information".

https://www.who.int/news/item/22-11-2023-who-statement-on-reported-clusters-of-respiratory-illness-in-children-in-northern-china

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@BaryLevy any chance this could resolve, given nothing came of it and the incident seems to have ended?

@pumpkin panic It will be bad if China continues to hide information about the epidemic. I underestimated their dishonesty. Covid-19 has been a big lesson for us...

What's the resolution if it's a novel respiratory bacterium?
And if, as Alina Chen suggests, it's an existing bacterium but a strain with significant antibiotic resistance, does that count as novel?

predicted NO

@JiSK remaining loyal to original phrasing, A bacterium will count as NO.

According to WHO:

"Chinese authorities advised that there has been no detection of any unusual or novel pathogens or unusual clinical presentations, including in Beijing and Liaoning, but only the aforementioned general increase in respiratory illnesses due to multiple known pathogens."

https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2023-DON494

bought Ṁ40 of YES

@BaryLevy I always forget to read the comments before betting 🥲

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