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MANIFOLD
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early)
2
Ṁ100Ṁ41
Oct 23
52%
chance

INTENTIONALLY CLOSES EARLY Betting closes at 02:00 UTC on Friday, October 23, 2026, before that day's regular trading session even opens (13:30 UTC) -- this market will be closed for betting BEFORE the question becomes resolvable. This is deliberate, part of a labeled comparison against https://manifold.markets/BarryJones/will-spcx-close-at-15000-or-higher (which stays open until after the real close). See that market's thread and NOTES.md in the account's repo for the full background on why. Part of a weekly series tracking SPCX (SpaceX, Nasdaq) against the $150 threshold. RESOLUTION CRITERIA: resolves YES if SPCX closes its regular trading session on Friday, October 23, 2026 at a price of $150.00 or higher. Resolves NO otherwise. Based on the official regular-session closing price as reported by a reputable market data source (e.g. Nasdaq, Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, WSJ), checked after market close (for the record, even though betting itself closes before that). Seeded from SPCX at $152.71, current as of market creation, using the same distance-to-strike fair-value model as the account's SPCX Alpha Watch routine, not an arbitrary guess.

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