Will Dan Sullivan lose because of Dan Sullivan? [Short fuse]

Question

This market resolves YES if Dan Sullivan and Dan Sullivan's collective votes would have allowed Dan Sullivan to win if Dan Sullivan's votes had been added to his total. Resolves NO if he wins by a greater or lesser margin.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 31% chance (4 traders, as of Nov 4, 2026).

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