https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/boeing-787s-emergency-power-system-likely-active-before-air-india-crash-wsj-2025-06-18/

Unsure how to read this but it can’t be the flaps!

If one engine failed, and the pilot incorrectly shut down both or the wrong engine, how would “Two engines inoperative” resolve?

@MarcusM Probably YES, assuming the other engine was inoperative during the crash.

Market for fuel being the root cause, Y/N:

https://manifold.markets/Greyhawk/is-fuel-supply-the-root-cause-of-th?r=R3JleWhhd2s

Obviously both engines were inoperative, the question is really whether it's a fuelling or fuel system issue. And whether that's a design flaw or a human error.

What does the 'Other' option represent here? Is the question meant to resolve to 'Other' if and only if it doesn't resolve to any of the other options?

@hogshedges If it's something unrelated to any of the other options 'Other' would resolve yes, correct

@TimothyBandors then other seems extremely overpriced right now at 48%

What if it’s pilot error involving the flaps?

@SwedHouse Both might resolve YES

@TimothyBandors Thanks for the clarification!

Could be failure of the air data system that messed up the fly-by-wire system causing the pilot to be unable to pull up. Since the 787 is fully FBW, this could put the pilot in a situation where they can't do anything.

@InvertedKnife note failure could be due to bird strikes that took out multiple sensors, maintenance issues (probe covers left on), weird electrical failure, etc.

Can the "two blown out engines" be changed to "two engines inoperative" to cover any failure leaving both engines inoperative? It's not clear to me what "blown out" would specifically mean

@MrDsBeans Fair, applied the change.

"Thirty seconds after takeoff, there was a loud noise and then the plane crashed. It all happened so quickly,” said Ramesh [the sole survivor of the crash], speaking to the Hindustan Times."

this screams some kind of catastrophic structural failure to me, i don't think this was pilot error

@SaviorofPlant

the RAT was also deployed in photos which suggests power was lost

Important!

@PaperBoy are you the same paper boy from HWNDU?

Added 1k liquidity

Not gonna float the nathan fielder option "pilot communication"?

@BenM I think that falls under Pilot error? Also, man what a time for that final to have aired.

@TimothyBandors Yeah, it would. But it could also be separated since you could have pilot error without communication issues or communication issue preventing resolution of any of the options.

I don't know how to best structure that question, I'm mostly making a joke

@BenM loool