
Will the first presidential debate "matter"?
169
1kṀ39kresolved Jul 12
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if either candidate gets a 3 point boost between the debate day and two weeks afterwards. Will use RCP's 2-way "Spread" score for resolution purposes. Resolves N/A if no debate takes place. I have set the resolution date far away only as a safeguard against rescheduling.
Link to resolution source: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ2,685 | |
2 | Ṁ566 | |
3 | Ṁ460 | |
4 | Ṁ454 | |
5 | Ṁ306 |