Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Ken Paxton receives an official appointment to any position or title in the federal government under the Trump/Vance administration. This includes cabinet positions, sub-cabinet roles, task forces, commissions, or other formal federal positions. The appointment must be publicly announced and confirmed (where Senate confirmation is required). The market resolves NO if no such appointment occurs by the end of Trump's second term (January 20, 2029). If Vance takes over for Trump and appoints Paxton, it would still resolve yes.

Background (generated by AI)

Trump previously stated he would consider tapping Paxton for U.S. attorney general if he won a second term, calling his longtime ally "a very talented guy." Paxton has a record of backing Trump, notably on his debunked claims of election fraud that preceded January 6. Paxton is currently partnering with Trump's Department of Justice as part of the DOJ's Procurement Collusion Strike Force. Paxton is currently running in a May 26 runoff in Texas's Republican primary for U.S. Senate against incumbent John Cornyn.

Considerations (generated by AI)

Paxton was impeached by the Texas House in 2023 over corruption allegations and acquitted in the state Senate. The FBI has been investigating the same accusations since at least November 2020, and that investigation will be in the hands of Trump's Department of Justice as of his second term. Any nomination would require Senate confirmation.