Does moving up each tier significantly improve odds of surviving an AI-related catastrophe that kills > 75% of world?
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Being in top 0.00001% of wealth in the world (~400 people, cutoff of ~$7B-$10B net worth)
Top 0.0001% (~3,808 people, cutoff of ~$900M-$1.0B)
Top 0.01% (380,800 people, ~$35M-$40M)
Top 1% of wealth in the world (~38.1 million people, ~$1.18M)
Top 5% (~190.4 million people, ~$280K-$320K), compared to say
Top 10% (~380.8 million people, $150K~), compared to next 40%
Wealth will be orthogonal to outcomes, but some people will survive
No one will survive
You can select more than one option. Estimates were generated by ChatGPT 5.4
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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