Will Microsoft go bankrupt in 2 weeks
126
200
แน€2K
resolved Apr 8
Resolved
NO

Is microsoft gonna go bankrupt in 2 weeks? Idk

Get แน€200 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€115
2แน€83
3แน€60
4แน€50
5แน€39
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predicted NO

Resolving NO.

I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here: https://help.manifold.markets/unresolved-markets

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

predicted NO

@jack Thanks! I'm glad that my mana won 0 mana in profit!

predicted NO
predicted NO

Seems to me that this didn't happen.

@VinceVatter Yeah the market maker was a troll, probably there won't be any resolution

predicted NO

@jonsimon Unsurprising. How does one contact a mod?

@JohnSmithb9be You can get to the Discord via the Sitemap linked in the nav

predicted NO

@JohnSmithb9be leaderboard

predicted NO

Here we gooooo

predicted NO

@BaKa can you please resolve this market?

predicted NO

@BaKa pls

Oh boy, moment of truth

predicted YES

This just in from The Scallion (The Onion derivative): Microsoft had all their money in SVB and the Fed has deemed Microsoft "Too Big to Bail Out (We're not that rich...)"
Just kidding, of course.

predicted NO
bought แน€1,000 of NO

@bessarabov this market spooked me

bought แน€34 of NO

Hedge market:

bought แน€100 of NO

Market creator holds 153 shares of YES.

predicted NO

@brp So this will be a good test of whether the mods reliably punish troll users for resolving incorrectly

bought แน€10 of YES

Just to be clear, this person has only ever made 1 market on Manifold, and it's this incomprehensible market. I feel like surely the false resolution rate for new accounts which make a single bizarre market must be >1%...?

predicted NO

@tailcalled Agree, but the question seems very clear and admins can correct wrong resolutions!

sold แน€13 of YES

@jack Oh I felt like I had read somewhere that rugpulls were explicitly permitted according to the rules, but now I looked at some logs and it seems like some incorrect resolutions have historically been overturned. So I guess I'm wrong? idk

predicted NO

@tailcalled It used to be, but Manifold (wisely) changed their policy after observing the negative effects of some big rugpulls.

predicted NO

Wtf

bought แน€100 of YES

Yeah i think so