Will a famous musician perform at the Queen's funeral?
Basic
10
Ṁ679
resolved Sep 19
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if a famous musician performs at the Queen's funeral. Resolves NO if not.

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predicted YES

ok I'm also going to add another rule that u can't use ur main account to subsidise your questions LOL
Basically u shouldn't be able to use your main account in any way at all that benefits ur f2p account. I thought that was obvious but guess I need to explicitly say it in the rules.

Ur exploiting all the loopholes I see haha. No worries though I appreciate the tryhard-ness ;)
(but if u could u remove the subsidy that u made with ur main account that would be great ty!)

predicted YES

@SirSaltyF2P For sure! As @MattP likes to remind me often, words matter!! You have spoken, and I will comply.

Is it cool if I bet on the markets I have created with my other account?

predicted YES

@BTE I'm not sure which account your referring to but I assume you are asking if BTEF2P can bet on BTE markets?

The answer is no (although for all the rules, including this one I'm happy to discuss. This is obviously the first time running this type of event). You also shouldn't add liquidity to someone else's market with BTE and then bet on it with BTEF2P.

The reason being it would be unfair for u to bet on your BTE market with BTEF2p and then immediately resolve it. Because then you are just effectively transferring liquidity that would have been returned to BTE to your BTEF2P account.

@SirSaltyF2P Sorry, I keep commenting with the wrong account because it is WAY too early to be switching between browsers!!! I understand. Can I use both accounts to bet on someone else's market without adding subsidies? Or do you really prefer we shutter our regular accounts for the week? Or at least until the last two days where it is no holds barred?!?!

predicted YES

@BTE oh man so many situations. I think try to avoid betting on the same market with both accounts.

There's a few ways to abuse it eg.

  • Giving yourself good odds

  • Selling out of current position on main account and then rebuying them with your f2p account

predicted YES

@BTE and if it is helpful for you to keep all the rules then it might be wise to just use only ur f2p account for a week!

Probably McCartney, right?

ugh I don't want to give you a unique trader bonus but the odds on this were too good.
Also I'm incentivised to move it to a high enough probability asap so there aren't lots of users making small bets and slowly pushing it up (giving you a great unique trader bonus).
Man the meta games from this will be interesting (and I suspect pretty insightful)

@SirSaltyF2P LOL! I almost asked if Elton John would perform before realizing he would never do anything to insult Diana's legacy and doesn't need the attention. But someone will do it for the publicity no doubt.

btw don't use ur main account in the future to bet on your f2p markets lol :P

@SirSaltyF2P I read the rules several times before I did it. Haha.

@BTE yeah I just realised that I explicitly said that Manifold members weren't allows to use their other accounts AT ALL, partly to avoid this, but then forgot to put any rules related to this for other users. Will update the rules to reflect this now that betting with your main accounts on your own f2p markets is not allowed.

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