Will the Maine Secretary of State refuse to list Trump on the ballot in 2024 general election?
21
368
370
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
NO

The prevailing legal theory at the moment is that Trump is automatically disqualified by Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. This can apparently be unilaterally imposed by the Secretary of State in any individual state. This resolves YES if the Maine Secretary of State makes a choice to enforce this constitutional provision, regardless of the outcome of subsequent legal challenges.

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bought Ṁ0 of NO

I’m saying NO on the basis that individual states probably cannot unilaterally impose the insurrection clause against a presidential candidate. It seems the natl. Supreme Court (with its current makeup) will make that apparent before the RNC in July

How does this resolve if the Secretary of State rules that Trump is removed from the ballot, but then suspends the decision until it can be reviewed?

sold Ṁ66 of YES

Premature resolution @BTE? I initially loaded on YES but then realized your question only talks about the general election, but this decision seems to only affect the primary. I am still reading the decision to confirm. What's your thoughts on this?

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@mint Ah yes I unresolved. I suspect since this is unilateral it applies to both primary and general. Wouldn’t make sense for her to withhold from primary and then change mind later when stakes are even higher, but you are correct about the wording. I got too excited!!

predicted YES

@BTE I also suspect it would apply to both should we reach that point, but I think we need to off of her initial ruling and decision for now.

sold Ṁ36 of YES

Where does the news put this?

@JaredHoffman So is he removed or not? It sounds like he could be removed in the future, but currently is not?

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