![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FgVfjoMH9jv.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D47a43054-c481-4df6-9ef5-f09c01452e59&w=3840&q=75)
Will Joe Manchin leave the Democratic Party by the end of 2023?
Mini
47
Ṁ8.0kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Joe Manchin is up for reelection in West Virginia, much like Kristen Sinema, and it's definitely not unthinkable he would take a similar path and abandon the Dems but to join the GOP rather than going independent.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.
76% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024?
4% chance
Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024?
2% chance
[Kalshi] Will Joe Manchin have left Senate Democratic leadership on November 6th 2024?
98% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2028?
69% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2027?
64% chance
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024?
4% chance
Will Rashida Tlaib leave the Democratic Party by the end of October 2024?
20% chance
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ108 | |
2 | Ṁ99 | |
3 | Ṁ94 | |
4 | Ṁ87 | |
5 | Ṁ36 |
Sort by:
Well, apparently now he's not seeking reelection next year. Don't see any reason for him to switch now. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/09/us/politics/manchin-democrats-senate-reelection.html
Related questions
Related questions
Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.
76% chance
[Kalshi] Will Joe Manchin have left Senate Democratic leadership on November 6th 2024?
98% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2028?
69% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2027?
64% chance
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024?
4% chance
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024?
4% chance
Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024?
2% chance
Will Rashida Tlaib leave the Democratic Party by the end of October 2024?
20% chance