Will Joe Manchin leave the Democratic Party by the end of 2023?
BTE avatar
Brian T. Edwards
46
Ṁ870
Jan 1
11%
chance

Joe Manchin is up for reelection in West Virginia, much like Kristen Sinema, and it's definitely not unthinkable he would take a similar path and abandon the Dems but to join the GOP rather than going independent.

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Marnix avatar
Marnixbought Ṁ100 of NO

Well, apparently now he's not seeking reelection next year. Don't see any reason for him to switch now. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/09/us/politics/manchin-democrats-senate-reelection.html

nytimes.com
DismalScientist avatar
DismalScientistbought Ṁ10 of NO

Sinema left because she was losing in polls to her likely primary challenger. Unlikely that anyone will mount a strong primary challenge to Manchin.

Conflux avatar
Confluxbought Ṁ30 of NO

“up for reelection in West Virginia, much like Kirsten Sinema”

I think he’d more likely retire than join the Republicans.