Will Joe Manchin leave the Democratic Party by the end of 2023?
47
418
890
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Joe Manchin is up for reelection in West Virginia, much like Kristen Sinema, and it's definitely not unthinkable he would take a similar path and abandon the Dems but to join the GOP rather than going independent.

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bought Ṁ100 of NO

Well, apparently now he's not seeking reelection next year. Don't see any reason for him to switch now. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/09/us/politics/manchin-democrats-senate-reelection.html

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Sinema left because she was losing in polls to her likely primary challenger. Unlikely that anyone will mount a strong primary challenge to Manchin.

bought Ṁ30 of NO

“up for reelection in West Virginia, much like Kirsten Sinema”

I think he’d more likely retire than join the Republicans.