Will Francis X. Suarez run for the GOP nomination for president in 2024?
29
105
408
resolved Jun 16
Resolved
YES

Aug 12, 11:52am: Will Frances X. Suarez run for the GOP nomination for president in 2024? → Will Francis X. Suarez run for the GOP nomination for president in 2024?

Resolves YES if Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez announces and files paperwork that he is running for the Republican nomination for President of the United States. Resolves NO if not.

Aug 12, 11:52am:

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My new (related) market:

bought Ṁ200 of YES

"JUST IN: Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez has filed FEC paperwork to run for President of the United States in the GOP primary." https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1669086879214632961

predicted YES
bought Ṁ5 of NO

Would be terrible.

Best mayor in the US, but unequipped for war (even more than Trump, who didn’t actually use executive power effectively)

Also he knows it’s way too soon. No point in tangling with Trump vs. sailing in later. Has very clear aspirations but no upside to this cycle, maybe plausible for a later one.

bought Ṁ75 of NO

Base rates.

Fyi, his name happens to be spelled Francis.

predicted NO

Thanks for the links!

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