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@BTE can you resolve this one? (If not I'll resolve tomorrow as mod).

The following were guests between market creation and end of last year:
Aella

Elon Musk

Michael Malice (twice)

Tim Dodd

David Kipping

Jeremi Suri

Dennis Whyte

Omar Suleiman

MrBeast

Betül Kaçar

So should resolve 10% each.

Unless you want to consider only the answers that were added before they appear in the podcast:

Aella 33%

Elon Musk 33%

Michael Malice 34%

or

Aella 25%

Elon Musk 25%

Michael Malice 50% (considering he appear twice)

If you don't resolve, I'll resolve 10% each because the instructions were not clear.

This is the whole list of the guests that appear during the time period:

#407 – Guillaume Verdon: Beff Jezos, E/acc Movement, Physics, Computation & AGI

#406 – Teddy Atlas: Mike Tyson, Cus D’Amato, Boxing, Loyalty, Fear & Greatness

#405 – Jeff Bezos: Amazon and Blue Origin

#404 – Lee Cronin: Controversial Nature Paper on Evolution of Life and Universe

#403 – Lisa Randall: Dark Matter, Theoretical Physics, and Extinction Events

#402 – Michael Malice: Thanksgiving Pirate Special

#401 – John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3

#400 – Elon Musk: War, AI, Aliens, Politics, Physics, Video Games, and Humanity

#399 – Jared Kushner: Israel, Palestine, Hamas, Gaza, Iran, and the Middle East

#398 – Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse

#397 – Greg Lukianoff: Cancel Culture, Deplatforming, Censorship & Free Speech

#396 – James Sexton: Divorce Lawyer on Marriage, Relationships, Sex, Lies & Love

#395 – Walter Isaacson: Elon Musk, Steve Jobs, Einstein, Da Vinci & Ben Franklin

#394 – Neri Oxman: Biology, Art, and Science of Design & Engineering with Nature

#393 – Andrew Huberman: Relationships, Drama, Betrayal, Sex, and Love

#392 – Joscha Bach: Life, Intelligence, Consciousness, AI & the Future of Humans

#391 – Mohammed El-Kurd: Palestine

#390 – Yuval Noah Harari: Human Nature, Intelligence, Power, and Conspiracies

#389 – Benjamin Netanyahu: Israel, Palestine, Power, Corruption, Hate, and Peace

#388 – Robert F. Kennedy Jr: CIA, Power, Corruption, War, Freedom, and Meaning

#387 – George Hotz: Tiny Corp, Twitter, AI Safety, Self-Driving, GPT, AGI & God

#386 – Marc Andreessen: Future of the Internet, Technology, and AI

#385 – Jimmy Wales: Wikipedia

#384 – Matthew McConaughey: Freedom, Truth, Family, Hardship, and Love

#383 – Mark Zuckerberg: Future of AI at Meta, Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp

#382 – Bert Kreischer: Comedy, Drinking, Rogan, Segura, Churchill & Kim Jong Un

#381 – Chris Lattner: Future of Programming and AI

#380 – Neil Gershenfeld: Self-Replicating Robots and the Future of Fabrication

#379 – Randall Kennedy: The N-Word – History of Race, Law, Politics, and Power

#378 – Anna Frebel: Origin and Evolution of the Universe, Galaxies, and Stars

#377 – Harvey Silverglate: Freedom of Speech

#376 – Stephen Wolfram: ChatGPT and the Nature of Truth, Reality & Computation

#375 – David Pakman: Politics of Trump, Biden, Bernie, AOC, Socialism & Wokeism

#374 – Robert Playter: Boston Dynamics CEO on Humanoid and Legged Robotics

#373 – Manolis Kellis: Evolution of Human Civilization and Superintelligent AI

#372 – Simone Giertz: Queen of Sh*tty Robots, Innovative Engineering, and Design

#371 – Max Tegmark: The Case for Halting AI Development

#370 – Edward Frenkel: Reality is a Paradox – Mathematics, Physics, Truth & Love

#369 – Paul Rosolie: Amazon Jungle, Uncontacted Tribes, Anacondas, and Ayahuasca

#368 – Eliezer Yudkowsky: Dangers of AI and the End of Human Civilization

#367 – Sam Altman: OpenAI CEO on GPT-4, ChatGPT, and the Future of AI

#366 – Shannon Curry: Johnny Depp & Amber Heard Trial, Marriage, Dating & Love

#365 – Sam Harris: Trump, Pandemic, Twitter, Elon, Bret, IDW, Kanye, AI & UFOs

#364 – Chris Voss: FBI Hostage Negotiator

#363 – B-Team Jiu Jitsu: Craig Jones, Nicky Rod, and Nicky Ryan

#362 – Ginni Rometty: IBM CEO on Leadership, Power, and Adversity

#361 – Aaron Smith-Levin: Scientology

#360 – Tim Urban: Tribalism, Marxism, Liberalism, Social Justice, and Politics

#359 – Andrew Strominger: Black Holes, Quantum Gravity, and Theoretical Physics

#358 – Aella: Sex Work, OnlyFans, Porn, Escorting, Dating, and Human Sexuality

#357 – Paul Conti: Narcissism, Sociopathy, Envy, and the Nature of Good and Evil

#356 – Tim Dodd: SpaceX, Starship, Rocket Engines, and Future of Space Travel

#355 – David Kipping: Alien Civilizations and Habitable Worlds

#354 – Jeremi Suri: American Civil War

#353 – Dennis Whyte: Nuclear Fusion and the Future of Energy

#352 – Omar Suleiman: Islam

#351 – MrBeast: Future of YouTube, Twitter, TikTok, and Instagram

#350 – Betül Kaçar: Origin of Life, Ancient DNA, Panspermia, and Aliens

#349 – Bhaskar Sunkara: The Case for Socialism

#348 – Nathalie Cabrol: Search for Alien Life

#347 – Michael Malice: Christmas Special

#346 – Ed Calderon: Mexican Drug Cartels

#345 – Coffeezilla: SBF, FTX, Fraud, Scams, Fake Gurus, Money, Fame, and Power

#344 – Noam Brown: AI vs Humans in Poker and Games of Strategic Negotiation

#343 – Roger Gracie: Greatest Jiu Jitsu Competitor of All Time

#342 – Todd Howard: Skyrim, Elder Scrolls 6, Fallout, and Starfield

#341 – Guido van Rossum: Python and the Future of Programming

#340 – Chris Tarbell: FBI Agent Who Took Down Silk Road

#339 – Climate Change Debate: Bjørn Lomborg and Andrew Revkin

#338 – Chamath Palihapitiya: Money, Success, Startups, Energy, Poker & Happiness

@egroj I just saw that you are banned so I'll resolve right now

This market should resolve.

@levifinkelstein I read in one of his posts that he wouldn't do any podcasts

Buying again here in case @LexFridman is the real Lex Fridman

How does this market resolve?

@egroj @BTE can we get clarification about this?

@egroj Sorry. Resolves based on whether or not the person has been a guest on the podcast by market close.

@BTE can it be a repeated guest?

@egroj Absolutely

Resolves based on whether or not the person has been a guest on the podcast by market close.

And since market creation or ever?

@BionicD0LPH1N Obviously since market creation, way too easy otherwise.

@BTE Fair, I suspected as much, but it is going to be easy either way. I added names of people that went on his podcast in the past weeks, and according to the current resolution that would mean my options resolve positively. I feel like this market should only resolve to the people who go on his podcast since market creation that were a market option at the time of their going on Lex’s.

@BionicD0LPH1N @BTE should be restricted to answers that were there before the podcast appear, otherwise this market doesn't make much sense. One can add one guest per week and any real prediction would earn nothing but the end of the year

@egroj by*

Who do you want to see Lex Fridman interview?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition