Which US Senators will vote to certify the 2024 election in all 50 states?
Basic
50
Ṁ52k
resolved Jan 12
Resolved
YES
Mark Kelly - D, Arizona
Resolved
YES
Alex Padilla - D, California
Resolved
YES
Michael Bennet - D, Colorado
Resolved
YES
John Hickenlooper - D, Colorado
Resolved
YES
Richard Blumenthal - D, Connecticut
Resolved
YES
Chris Murphy - D, Connecticut
Resolved
YES
Chris Coons - D, Delaware
Resolved
YES
Jon Ossoff - D, Georgia
Resolved
YES
Raphael Warnock - D, Georgia
Resolved
YES
Brian Schatz - D, Hawaii
Resolved
YES
Mazie Hirono - D, Hawaii
Resolved
YES
Dick Durbin - D, Illinois
Resolved
YES
Tammy Duckworth - D, Illinois
Resolved
YES
Chris Van Hollen - D, Maryland
Resolved
YES
Elizabeth Warren - D, Massachusetts
Resolved
YES
Ed Markey - D, Massachusetts
Resolved
YES
Gary Peters - D, Michigan
Resolved
YES
Catherine Cortez Masto - D, Nevada
Resolved
YES
Jacky Rosen - D, Nevada
Resolved
YES
Jeanne Shaheen - D, New Hampshire

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@mods creator banned. I'm assuming even though they didn't hold a "vote", the absence of any objection will act as a "vote" and make all active senators resolve yes? pls let me know if your view is diff

@Riley12 If you can confirm that all the ones trading at 1% have resigned or not been re-elected, I will resolve everything else Yes.

@Eliza And also that the ones trading at 95% were actually physically present in the room?

It doesn't look like there is even a 'vote', was there?

@Eliza

It looks like most of these senators would not have 'voted to certify' anything, since that is done at the state level. But I have a feeling this is not what the question is meant to ask....

The joint session is often referred to colloquially as “certifying” the presidential election. More

precisely, the joint session is where the electoral votes from each state are verified and counted.

Certification of the votes of the electors—meaning, authentication of the results of the

presidential election administered separately by each state—happens at the state level, as required

by the Twelfth Amendment.

https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R48309/2

@Eliza I reviewed the document....comparing that to the question title here, it seems like people were actually betting on "Will these people make an objection to the counting of the certified results".

It looks like there were no objections at all. All the Senators who were still Senators should resolve Yes and the others No?

@traders A related market is here:

reposted

um free mana

reposted

Are you intentionally getting me unique trader bonuses so my limit orders on the Trump VP market fill and don’t get canceled??

bought Ṁ2 NO

@BTE Well I've been putting off looking up everything I need to for correcting this market and it seemed like I could kill two bets with one stone, yes 😅

@BTE Do the retiring people all go to 0% for sure? I wasn't certain about that part but I believe that is the case.

@Joshua Yes there is no chance anyone not in the 119th Congress can vote.

bought Ṁ50 NO

The 2024 election will be certified on Jan 6, 2025 by the NEW congress which is seated on Jan 3, 2025. All the retiring Senators here (Manchin, Romney, Sinema, etc) should be near 0%.

@Mobium I realized this immediately after creating it so treat anyone who won’t be there on January 6 as a NO.

@Mobium Anyone who you think won’t be reelected goes to zero also.

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