Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the TPUSA "All-American Halftime Show" receives viewership equal to or greater than 1/10 of the Super Bowl LX halftime show viewership.

Viewership will be measured by combining all available viewership data from the platforms where the TPUSA show will air: Daily Wire+, Real America's Voice, Trinity Broadcasting Network, TDN, Sinclair Media's The National News Desk, Charge!, and TPUSA's social media channels (YouTube, X, and Rumble). Resolution will be based on official viewership reports released by these platforms or TPUSA within 30 days of the February 8, 2026 broadcast.

Background

TPUSA announced the alternative halftime show in response to the NFL's selection of Bad Bunny as the Super Bowl halftime performer. The TPUSA show features Kid Rock, Brantley Gilbert, Gabby Barrett and Lee Brice and is scheduled to air live on Sunday, Feb. 8, 2026 around 8 p.m., concurrent with the official halftime show. Last year's Super Bowl halftime show, headlined by Kendrick Lamar, drew more than 133.5 million viewers.

Considerations

The TPUSA show will air simultaneously across multiple conservative media platforms and social channels rather than on traditional broadcast television. This fragmented distribution across niche platforms differs significantly from the NFL's centralized broadcast on NBC, which reaches mainstream audiences. Viewership aggregation across these disparate platforms may be difficult to verify, and some platforms may not publicly release detailed viewership metrics.

This description was generated by AI.

• Update 2026-02-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait for official numbers on Bad Bunny before resolving the market. Based on preliminary estimates, the TPUSA show received approximately 5-6 million viewers, while the Super Bowl typically exceeds 100 million viewers, making a NO resolution highly likely.