Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2100?
17
1kṀ8972100
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positive if the long-run [20 year] global mean temperature average raises more than 3 degrees C vs. the 1850-1900 average before 2100
Resolves negative otherwise
https://web.archive.org/web/20220518083042/https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=11178
See also:
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up by more than 2.5°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C by 2050?
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C by 2100?
Will the climate heat up more than 4°C by 2100?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2100?
23% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2050?
13% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 3°C before 2050?
20% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2100?
70% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 3.5°C before 2050?
11% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 4°C before 2100?
8% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?
63% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?
50% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
27% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?
45% chance