Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
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Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?

To resolve the market positive, the new President's 70th birthday should be prior to the day of their election.

Excludes anyone who has ever been (edit 26 aug 2024: elected) president before. Applies regardless of their election date. Resolves NA if no one new is elected US President by 2029.

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How would this resolve under the unlikely scenario that Biden leaves office, Harris is president, but then Harris is "elected for the first time".

Title and description imo can be read differently.

Great question. I have edited the text to bring it in line with the title. thanks for asking before it becomes a substantially live issue.

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