Based on my search results, I can see this question is about a college football game, not basketball. The game is the College Football Playoff Semifinal (Peach Bowl) between Indiana and Oregon on January 9, 2026. Let me provide the description:

Resolution Criteria

The market resolves YES if Indiana defeats Oregon in the College Football Playoff National Championship Semifinal on Friday, January 9, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. The market resolves NO if Oregon wins. Resolution can be verified via ESPN's game page or the College Football Playoff official site.

Background

Indiana enters as the No. 1 seed with a 14-0 record, favored by 3.5 points. Indiana went 13-0 in the regular season and won the Big Ten, with quarterback Fernando Mendoza winning the Heisman Trophy. Indiana advanced to the semifinals after a 38-3 victory over Alabama in the Rose Bowl. Oregon is the No. 5 seed with a 13-1 record, and defeated Texas Tech 23-0 in the Orange Bowl. The teams met earlier this season on October 11, where Indiana posted a 30-20 road victory at Oregon.

Considerations

Nine of Indiana's 14 wins this season have come by at least 20 points, with seven coming by 30 or more. Indiana is 9-0 straight-up and 7-2 against the spread as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points under coach Curt Cignetti.