MANIFOLD
What will be confirmed about the school shooting at Madison, Wisconsin? [Add Answers]
8
Ṁ1kṀ790
resolved Sep 17
Resolved
YES
Manifesto posted by Slatzism is authentic
Resolved
NO
Discord screenshot about "moids" is authentic
Resolved
NO
the Google Drive link that requires permissions is related to the case
Resolved
NO
The shooter was trans
Resolved
NO
Motive has to do with racism
Resolved
NO
Motive has to do with misandry
Resolved
NO
Guns used were legally obtained
Resolved
NO
A gun used would have been banned under the 1994-2004 Federal Assault Weapons Ban

Things will be considered "confirmed" if they're reported in mainstream media as confirmed.

  • Update 2025-05-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will resolve this market in phases:

    • Information confirmed by mainstream media that is known "for now" will be resolved.

    • Other aspects will be resolved later as more details are officially confirmed via mainstream media.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ67
2Ṁ57
3Ṁ20
4Ṁ18
5Ṁ13
Sort by:

I can't find any information about the case still being open and none of this has been confirmed in the mainstream media as far as I can tell. My bad for having terrible resolution criteria, but I think this is probably the most reasonable thing to do in this situation.

In retrospect, I should have written more well-defined resolution criteria, but since the case is still open, I'm going to resolve everything we know for now and resolve the rest later when more details are officially out.

If I missed any news that confirm some of these, feel free to point it out.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy