Background YouTube was acquired by Google in 2006 for $1.65 billion and has since become one of Google's most successful and strategically important products. While YouTube has evolved to include social networking features, it remains primarily a video-sharing platform and a core part of Google's digital ecosystem.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve as YES if
YouTube remains owned and operated by Google (Alphabet Inc.) through February 24, 2026.
The market will resolve as NO if:
YouTube is sold or spun off from Google/Alphabet before February 24, 2026
YouTube will discontinue or renamed before this date
Google/Alphabet undergoes a corporate restructuring that separates YouTube into a completely independent entity
Considerations
While there are occasional rumors about potential antitrust actions or corporate restructuring, there are currently no credible indications that Google plans to divest YouTube
The recent announcement of YouTube's Limited Ad Serving policy implementation through 2026 suggests continued long-term integration with Google's advertising infrastructure
Any temporary service outages or rebranding that maintains Google's ownership would not affect the resolution of this market