Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if a coelacanth is kept alive in a captive aquarium environment for a duration exceeding 3 years at any point before January 1, 2032. It resolves to NO if no coelacanth survives in captivity for more than 3 years by this date.

Resolution will be based on reports from reputable scientific institutions, public aquaria, or peer-reviewed literature. If an institution claims to have successfully kept a coelacanth for longer than 3 years, documentation including dates of acquisition and death (or confirmation of ongoing survival) will be required.

Background

Coelacanths, often referred to as "living fossils," are deep-sea fish belonging to the order Coelacanthiformes. They are notoriously difficult to keep in captivity due to their specialized habitat requirements, including high pressure and cold temperatures associated with their natural environment at depths of 100 to 500 meters.

Previous attempts to keep coelacanths in aquaria have generally resulted in very short survival times, often measured in hours or days, primarily because specimens are typically brought to the surface too quickly, causing fatal decompression injuries and thermal shock. As of current scientific records, there is no documented instance of a coelacanth surviving in an aquarium setting for anything approaching three years.

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