Resolves YES if they get the trustworthy-ish badge by the end of 2023.
Resolves NO if they do not. Also resolves NO if they get banned.
Austin's notes: @PeterWildeford is a frequent trader and commenter on Manifold, and also somewhat noteworthy as the cofounder/CEO of Rethink Priorities. However, he only has a handful of markets created and resolved at the moment. This may not be disqualifying (eg we've issued a Trustworthy-ish badge to Eliezer); basically the key question is "at what point should a famous person get the Trustworthyish badge"? Another borderline example would be Lex Fridman - well-known, but much less active on the Manifold site.
As usual, I'd love to hear people weigh in on this!
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🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ105 | |
2 | Ṁ25 | |
3 | Ṁ12 | |
4 | Ṁ10 | |
5 | Ṁ5 |
@PeterWildeford I generally think of ~30 markets as the cutoff for "has created plenty of markets"; of course, 30 markets is neither sufficient or necessary as there are a lot of other factors (eg individual market quality, other community engagement like good comments, general noteworthiness)