Will Manifold receive funding from OpenPhil in 2023?
43
458
1.4K
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Manifold receives any meaningful amount of funding from OpenPhil this year, or a meaningful commitment for funding (if the money doesn't arrive by end of year).

We previously have not received any funding from OpenPhil; see Manifold's funding history on OpenBook.fyi. We've recently inquired about the application process, but new forecasting grants are on pause while OpenPhil recruits a program associate for the forecasting space (incidentally, if you think you might be a good candidate for the role, please consider applying!)

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bought Ṁ500 of YES

Bidding up on the news that Dustin Moskovitz knows about Manifold:

Checking now, he may have signed up a few days ago!! @DustinMoskovitz

Of course I imagine he's not very involved in OpenPhil's grantmaking process, but it's still a nice "senpai noticed us" moment~

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Good luck!

PS We should bet NO - to incentivize insiders from OpenPhil to buy cheap YES and give you the grant.

bought Ṁ200 of YES

@itsTomekK Oh, whoops. Never sure about this one, I bought YES to signal confidence