Will I extend my stay in EA Bahamas?
11
11
Ṁ107
resolved May 11
Resolved
YES
See: https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-i-make-it-to-ea-bahamas-by-apr Most likely I'll fly back at the end, but James and Stephen are staying a bit later (May 14th). What are the chances I'll fall in love with the community/location and extend my stay beyond the my current May 11th flight? Apr 20, 2:23pm: Resolves N/A if I can't make it to EA Bahamas for whatever reason
Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted NO
Dang I thought to myself "I should update that market" followed by "eh no way someone's going to beat me to it"
bought Ṁ20 of YES
Updating on Austin having covid.
bought Ṁ10 of YES
I think it's probably pretty nice if you have the blessing of FTX, which I imagine you would. I would have definitely stayed if I had gotten a fellowship and my partner didn't find the Bahamas so unpleasant.
bought Ṁ50 of NO
I booked flights to NYC from May 11th to May 17th, so less likely that I'll skip out on that. (If you're in NYC around those dates, hit me up, I'm probabalistically likely to see you!)

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