Will I make it to EA Bahamas by April 28th?
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Ṁ105
resolved May 1
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YES
The Manifold team is doing a trip to the Bahamas as part of the FTX EA visitor program! I've booked flights for 4/27-5/11. However, there are a few potential things that could go wrong: - My passport is expired, and I don't know how easy the expedited process is - Logistically I need to figure out covid testing for the health visa - the planes could get delayed - unknown unknowns (covid resurgence??) Market resolves true iff I am physically in the Bahamas at any point on April 28th.
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bought Ṁ10 of YES
Flights booked to NYC and then Bahamas! Main blocker now is the COVID test (and the chance I miss flights, ofc.) One of my favorite sayings is "if you're never missed a flight, you're spending too much time in airports" -- guess why :P) https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=40
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bought Ṁ50 of YES
hooray!
predicted YES
Haha yeah, tomorrow (4/27) Also - would love if anyone has a place I can crash at~
bought Ṁ50 of YES
Layover in NYC is tomorrow no? I’ll just miss you (I’ll be in NYC this weekend). Safe trip!
predicted YES
I'm also thinking of doing a layover in NYC; if anyone is there and free to hang out on Wed, hit me up~
bought Ṁ50 of YES
Hello from Minneapolis! My passport seems to be in order, I should be getting it back in less than an hour :)
bought Ṁ20 of NO
So the only available place to get a passport processed in-person is Minneapolis...

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