resolved
May 7No Group
Resolved
MANYThe Manifold team is planning on doing a hackathon at EA Bahamas. Suggest projects here, and predict which project will take first place (as judged by me lol). We're planning on awarding Manifold dollars to projects that we like -- predict what the M$ payout distribution will look like!
I'm planning on giving out the M$ equivalent of USD $1000, $750, $500, $250, $200 to the top 5 projects, with a participation bonus of $50 to everyone else. And with Charity Prediction Markets, you could just send your winnings directly to charity!
Fine print:
- Prizes are awarded per-project, and split between those who worked on it.
- I reserve the right to change this payout e.g. by paying out more prizes.
- I also reserve the right to award projects that I've worked on (so as not to disincentivize working with me).
- I'll try to judge as fairly as possible. Maybe will make it a judging panel instead of just me, if people are interested in helping judge.
Posted on Slack:
Hey y'all! The Manifold team is doing an all-day hackathon next Friday (May 6th). And we'd love for you to join! We'd be happy to help incubate any project you have in mind, with advice or code or just moral support. Some things I've personally been dreaming of:
- Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs)
- Contact info exchanger app - Hand your phone to someone, they type in their name + number, and it sends a text with your name & background
- A "Common App" for EA funding
- All kinds of Manifold integrations lol (LessWrong! Slack/Discord! Metaforecast!)
And of course, we'd love to award prizes denominated in M$ to projects that seem cool (whether they're Manifold-related or not.) React/comment if you'd be interested!
Close date updated to 2022-05-07 11:59 pm
Numeric / range prediction markets on Manifold
Chosen 35%
5%
Nonlinear analytics dashboard
Chosen 26%
0.7%
Manifold plays DnD
Chosen 18%
87%
kl divergence implementation in squiglge
Chosen 9%
0.7%
1 on 1 Betting
Chosen 7%
0.8%
Contact info exchanger app
Chosen 2%
0.3%
Pairing people with skills to EA problems
Chosen 2%
1.1%
The Productivity Fund
Chosen 2%
3%
Austin answered
A "Common App" for EA funding
1.1%
Austin answered
Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs)
0.5%
Austin answered
Emerson: Bonding curves for prediction markets
0.4%
Em of the Night answered
Bounties / Happy Price listing app
0.1%
Sinclair Chen answered
Scalar squiggly markets
0.0%
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austin | M$212 |
| 2 |  James | M$101 |
| 3 |  Drew Spartz | M$47 |
| 4 |  S G | M$46 |
💸 Best bet
A trader bought M$10 of Nonlinear ... dashboard from 0.0% to 9%5 months ago
Austin made M$192!
Ian answered5 months ago
Manifold plays DnD
James Grugett answered5 months ago
Numeric / range prediction markets on Manifold
Austin answered5 months ago
The Productivity Fund
Austin answered5 months ago
A "Common App" for EA funding
Austin bought M$105 months ago
See a longer writeup here: https://akrolsmir.notion.site/Proposal-A-Common-App-for-EA-Funding-5c0d7d70ab8644d6a5392d9a80046edc0
Austin answered5 months ago
Pairing people with skills to EA problems
Austin answered5 months ago
1 on 1 Betting
Austin answered5 months ago
Nonlinear analytics dashboard
Austin answered5 months ago
kl divergence implementation in squiglge
Austin answered5 months ago
Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs)
Austin bought M$105 months ago
An idea I stole from @NuñoSempere https://akrolsmir.notion.site/MicroSco-b56bd27fec54447cb40e77fdc14e33ab0
Austin answered5 months ago
Emerson: Bonding curves for prediction markets
Austin bought M$105 months ago
(sorry - Emerson doesn't have to be the one to build this, it was just his pitch at the kickoff)0
Austin answered5 months ago
Contact info exchanger app
Austin bought M$105 months ago
Hand your phone to someone, they type in their name + number, and it sends a text with your name & background0
Em of the Night answered5 months ago
Bounties / Happy Price listing app
Em of the Night bought M$15 months ago
I've long had the idea that it would be good to have a system that lets you mark friends, rate trustworthiness, and propagate recommendations along your network (a la https://cblgh.org/dl/trustnet-cblgh.pdf )0
Austin bought M$45 months ago
Yeah, I'd like this too! One problem with this kind of app is that it's an inherently network effect, and a two-sided marketplace at that; it requires both a critical number of bounty-seekers and bounty-payers before it becomes useful.0
Sinclair Chen answered5 months ago
Scalar squiggly markets
A trader bought M$10 of The Produc...ivity Fund from 0.0% to 3%5 months ago
A trader bought M$500 of Manifold plays DnD from 5% to 89%5 months ago
A trader bought M$30 of Numeric / ...n Manifold from 24% to 41%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of 1 on 1 Betting from 8% to 9%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of Manifold plays DnD from 5% to 6%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of Nonlinear ... dashboard from 0.0% to 9%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of 1 on 1 Betting from 0.0% to 9%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of kl diverge...n squiglge from 0.0% to 9%5 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of Numeric / ...n Manifold from 16% to 33%5 months ago
A trader bought M$15 of Numeric / ...n Manifold from 0.0% to 16%5 months ago
A trader bought M$5 of Microcovid...microjobs) from 5% to 11%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of Manifold plays DnD from 9% to 11%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of Emerson: B...on markets from 8% to 9%5 months ago
A trader bought M$15 of Pairing pe...A problems from 11% to 27%5 months ago
A trader bought M$20 of A "Common ...EA funding from 10% to 34%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of Manifold plays DnD from 0.0% to 16%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of Pairing pe...A problems from 0.0% to 18%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of Emerson: B...on markets from 0.0% to 19%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of Scalar squ...ly markets from 0.0% to 2%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of Contact in...hanger app from 20% to 22%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of A "Common ...EA funding from 18% to 19%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of Microcovid...microjobs) from 15% to 17%5 months ago
A trader bought M$4 of Bounties /...isting app from 2% to 11%5 months ago
A trader bought M$1 of Bounties /...isting app from 0.0% to 2%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of Contact in...hanger app from 0.0% to 23%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of A "Common ...EA funding from 0.0% to 27%5 months ago
A trader bought M$10 of Microcovid...microjobs) from 0.0% to 31%5 months ago