Austin avatar
resolved 
May 7
No Group
Which projects will win the EA Bahamas Hackathon on May 6th?
Resolved
MANY
The Manifold team is planning on doing a hackathon at EA Bahamas. Suggest projects here, and predict which project will take first place (as judged by me lol). We're planning on awarding Manifold dollars to projects that we like -- predict what the M$ payout distribution will look like! I'm planning on giving out the M$ equivalent of USD $1000, $750, $500, $250, $200 to the top 5 projects, with a participation bonus of $50 to everyone else. And with Charity Prediction Markets, you could just send your winnings directly to charity! Fine print: - Prizes are awarded per-project, and split between those who worked on it. - I reserve the right to change this payout e.g. by paying out more prizes. - I also reserve the right to award projects that I've worked on (so as not to disincentivize working with me). - I'll try to judge as fairly as possible. Maybe will make it a judging panel instead of just me, if people are interested in helping judge. Posted on Slack: Hey y'all! The Manifold team is doing an all-day hackathon next Friday (May 6th). And we'd love for you to join! We'd be happy to help incubate any project you have in mind, with advice or code or just moral support. Some things I've personally been dreaming of: - Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs) - Contact info exchanger app - Hand your phone to someone, they type in their name + number, and it sends a text with your name & background - A "Common App" for EA funding - All kinds of Manifold integrations lol (LessWrong! Slack/Discord! Metaforecast!) And of course, we'd love to award prizes denominated in M$ to projects that seem cool (whether they're Manifold-related or not.) React/comment if you'd be interested! Close date updated to 2022-05-07 11:59 pm
Numeric / range prediction markets on Manifold
Chosen 35%
5%
Nonlinear analytics dashboard
Chosen 26%
0.7%
Manifold plays DnD
Chosen 18%
87%
kl divergence implementation in squiglge
Chosen 9%
0.7%
1 on 1 Betting
Chosen 7%
0.8%
Contact info exchanger app
Chosen 2%
0.3%
Pairing people with skills to EA problems
Chosen 2%
1.1%
The Productivity Fund
Chosen 2%
3%
Austin avatar
Austin answered
A "Common App" for EA funding
1.1%
Austin avatar
Austin answered
Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs)
0.5%
Austin avatar
Austin answered
Emerson: Bonding curves for prediction markets
0.4%
hamnox avatar
Bounties / Happy Price listing app
0.1%
Sinclair avatar
Sinclair Chen answered
Scalar squiggly markets
0.0%

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Austin
M$212
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A trader bought M$10 of Nonlinear ... dashboard from 0.0% to 9%5 months ago
Austin made M$192!
ian avatar
Manifold plays DnD
Austin avatar
By David and Ian!
0
JamesGrugett avatar
Numeric / range prediction markets on Manifold
Austin avatar
The Productivity Fund
Austin avatar
A "Common App" for EA funding
Austin avatar
Pairing people with skills to EA problems
Austin avatar
1 on 1 Betting
Austin avatar
By Rahul!
0
Austin avatar
Nonlinear analytics dashboard
Austin avatar
Austin bought M$105 months ago
By Maris!
0
Austin avatar
kl divergence implementation in squiglge
Austin avatar
Austin bought M$105 months ago
By Quinn!
0
Austin avatar
Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs)
Austin avatar
Emerson: Bonding curves for prediction markets
Austin avatar
Austin bought M$105 months ago
(sorry - Emerson doesn't have to be the one to build this, it was just his pitch at the kickoff)
0
Austin avatar
Contact info exchanger app
Austin avatar
Austin bought M$105 months ago
Hand your phone to someone, they type in their name + number, and it sends a text with your name & background
0
hamnox avatar
Bounties / Happy Price listing app
hamnox avatar
I've long had the idea that it would be good to have a system that lets you mark friends, rate trustworthiness, and propagate recommendations along your network (a la https://cblgh.org/dl/trustnet-cblgh.pdf )
0
Austin avatar
Yeah, I'd like this too! One problem with this kind of app is that it's an inherently network effect, and a two-sided marketplace at that; it requires both a critical number of bounty-seekers and bounty-payers before it becomes useful.
0
Sinclair avatar
Scalar squiggly markets
hamnox avatar
What does this mean?
0
Quinn avatar
I'm curious about this!
0
General Comments
noumena avatar
Common app seems like low hanging fruit. I like that idea!
0