Which projects will win the EA Bahamas Hackathon on May 6th?

Basic

Ṁ768

resolved May 7

35%5%

Numeric / range prediction markets on Manifold

26%0.7%

Nonlinear analytics dashboard

18%87%

Manifold plays DnD

9%0.7%

kl divergence implementation in squiglge

7%0.8%

1 on 1 Betting

2%3%

The Productivity Fund

2%1.1%

Pairing people with skills to EA problems

2%0.3%

Contact info exchanger app

0.4%Other

0.5%

Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs)

1.1%

A "Common App" for EA funding

0.1%

Bounties / Happy Price listing app

0.0%

Scalar squiggly markets

0.4%

Emerson: Bonding curves for prediction markets

The Manifold team is planning on doing a hackathon at EA Bahamas. Suggest projects here, and predict which project will take first place (as judged by me lol). We're planning on awarding Manifold dollars to projects that we like -- predict what the M$ payout distribution will look like! I'm planning on giving out the M$ equivalent of USD $1000, $750, $500, $250, $200 to the top 5 projects, with a participation bonus of $50 to everyone else. And with Charity Prediction Markets, you could just send your winnings directly to charity! Fine print: - Prizes are awarded per-project, and split between those who worked on it. - I reserve the right to change this payout e.g. by paying out more prizes. - I also reserve the right to award projects that I've worked on (so as not to disincentivize working with me). - I'll try to judge as fairly as possible. Maybe will make it a judging panel instead of just me, if people are interested in helping judge. Posted on Slack: Hey y'all! The Manifold team is doing an all-day hackathon next Friday (May 6th). And we'd love for you to join! We'd be happy to help incubate any project you have in mind, with advice or code or just moral support. Some things I've personally been dreaming of: - Microcovid, but for other things (micromarriages, microjobs) - Contact info exchanger app - Hand your phone to someone, they type in their name + number, and it sends a text with your name & background - A "Common App" for EA funding - All kinds of Manifold integrations lol (LessWrong! Slack/Discord! Metaforecast!) And of course, we'd love to award prizes denominated in M$ to projects that seem cool (whether they're Manifold-related or not.) React/comment if you'd be interested! Close date updated to 2022-05-07 11:59 pm

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1,000

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3.00

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By Rahul!

By David and Ian!

By Quinn!

By Maris!

I'm curious about this!

What does this mean?

Common app seems like low hanging fruit. I like that idea!

(sorry - Emerson doesn't have to be the one to build this, it was just his pitch at the kickoff)

Yeah, I'd like this too! One problem with this kind of app is that it's an inherently network effect, and a two-sided marketplace at that; it requires both a critical number of bounty-seekers and bounty-payers before it becomes useful.

I've long had the idea that it would be good to have a system that lets you mark friends, rate trustworthiness, and propagate recommendations along your network (a la https://cblgh.org/dl/trustnet-cblgh.pdf )

An idea I stole from @NuñoSempere https://akrolsmir.notion.site/MicroSco-b56bd27fec54447cb40e77fdc14e33ab

See a longer writeup here: https://akrolsmir.notion.site/Proposal-A-Common-App-for-EA-Funding-5c0d7d70ab8644d6a5392d9a80046edc

Hand your phone to someone, they type in their name + number, and it sends a text with your name & background

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