How will "range markets" work in Manifold?
8
520Ṁ339resolved May 12
ResolvedN/A
9%Other
45%
Using CFMM, allow market creators to map 0-100% to a custom scale of their choice
5%
Using DPM, allow market creators to set up buckets (e.g. options of 10-20, 20-50, 50-200)
1.1%
(ante & discussion thread)
31%
Using CFMM, allow market creators to set up buckets
8%
Using LS-LMSR (aka the Hanson-Othman mechanism)
0.9%
CMMM - Constant Mean Market Maker: Uniswap CPMM generalised to more outcomes
0.4%
Moving Normal Distribution
A popular request is for Manifold to natively support "range markets" aka scalar markets: markets where you predict from a continuous range of numbers, rather than a binary YES/NO or a percent from 0-100%.
See also: https://manifold.markets/Cyril/will-manifold-implement-range-marke
This market will resolve to the option that is implemented as of May 1st, 2022; if none are implemented, than the one we devs have decided to use at that time; if we haven't decided, this market resolves N/A.
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