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MANIFOLD
How many of the top 10 essays (by Manifold %) will win a Cause Exploration Prize?
3
Ṁ300Ṁ149
resolved Sep 9
Resolved
2

Fun comparison between EA Forum Karma vs Manifold Market trader accuracy.

Specifically, how many of these essays will win first or second place? The top 10 essays by Manifold % are listed here:

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Fwiw it was hard for me to give good predictions on these as there were many to get through and manifolds load/lag time is way to high to do this pleasantly.
Of course you guys probs already focusing on it, but just incase, might be most high roi thing as it really hampers experience rn. xo

@GeorgeVii Thanks for the feedback! For our next contests like this, I think we'll try to reduce the number of entries you pay attention to at once.


But also, thanks a lot for writing your comments on the essays as well, I really appreciated being able to see your reasoning and updating accordingly!

⬇️

Featuring to let people know that the Cause Exploration Prize markets are closing soon!