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MANIFOLD
Will the S&P 500 move at least 2% in either direction on February 23rd, 2022?
34
Ṁ100Ṁ11k
resolved Feb 23
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to ‘YES’ if the S&P 500 has increased or decreased by 2% or more from February 22nd’s closing price at 4 PM EST on February 23rd. I will check the price using the Webull stock app. Close date updated to 2022-02-23 9:30 am Feb 22, 3:59pm: Will extend the closing time into market hours (3pm ET at the latest) if people would prefer that. Let me know in the comments!
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Well, Jonathan seems to know what he's talking about, AND is the resolver of the market, so I'll go with the safe buy here :)
This would be fairly valued at 8.6%, not 75.
So far this year, only 3/35 days have seen a move in either direction of 2%+