Will the S&P 500 move at least 2% in either direction on February 23rd, 2022?
34
266
resolved Feb 23
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to ‘YES’ if the S&P 500 has increased or decreased by 2% or more from February 22nd’s closing price at 4 PM EST on February 23rd. I will check the price using the Webull stock app. Close date updated to 2022-02-23 9:30 am Feb 22, 3:59pm: Will extend the closing time into market hours (3pm ET at the latest) if people would prefer that. Let me know in the comments!
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bought Ṁ300 of NO
Looks like even less than 10%, eyeballing https://i2.wp.com/financialsamurai.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/stock-market-volatility.jpg?fit=1456,9999
bought Ṁ50 of NO
Well, Jonathan seems to know what he's talking about, AND is the resolver of the market, so I'll go with the safe buy here :)
bought Ṁ16 of NO
This would be fairly valued at 8.6%, not 75.
bought Ṁ5 of NO
So far this year, only 3/35 days have seen a move in either direction of 2%+