Similar to https://manifold.markets/MaePole/will-there-be-a-sequel-for-hogwarts?r=QXNobGV5RGF2aWVz but with a longer time-span.

As an important nuance, I will resolve YES if a spiritual sequel is announced, even if it isn't a to-the-letter sequel. If the game was clearly approved on the back of Hogwarts Legacy, and is clearly marketed at the same audience, it would qualify, even if it's e.g. set in a different time period.

In the event an announcement seems on-the-fence in this respect, I'll determine some reasonably fair way to poll for community opinion at the time.

• Update 2024-31-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:

  • Stating that a sequel is a priority does not constitute an announcement of a specific sequel.