Someone will send over .25 ETH to keepitweird.eth by midnight UTC today.
Resolved
NO
Jun 18
M$749 bet
This will resolve to YES if keepitweird.eth recieves over 0.25 ETH by midnight UTC

💬 Proven correct

ahalekelly
Adrian bought M$5 of NO
@ArwynHughes I'm not sure what you mean by the last sentence? Traditionally prediction markets are for things not easily in one person's control
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Adrian made M$16!
ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 75%
im trying really hard to build interesting markets... we need people to play though im triyng to bring more people and ideas to the commuinity and have contributed every day not about me art... but thanks :)
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 83%
I have JUST LISTED 6 nts for sale at 0.1 ETH each.. here is the link.. they are pretty good and very cheap for 1.1 fine art pfps but the market is slow.. i hope someone picks th set.. then this will pass https://opensea.io/collection/the-pepestocracy
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ahalekelly
Adrian sold M$9 of YES
Wait this market is just self promotion. I thought it was begging with extra steps which was at least interesting
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ahalekelly
Adrian is betting NO at 75%
Your art is bad and you should feel bad.
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 75%
@ahalekelly i disagree actually, thats not my intention at all.. i can find a bigger base lol.... its actually a highly delcatte web of potential probabblilty.. come on, im just trying to be creative.. whats wrong with multiple combinations of thigs :)
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 75%
@ahalekelly i do.. thats why. im here talking to you instead of getting a life and doing more rubbish art to save myself from any reamaing dispair i have about life... What brings you here? :)
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes bought M$10 of YES
update in name of transparancy.. I intend t list nfts for sale today and if i do i will update here as i list them.
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ahalekelly
Adrian is betting YES at 81%
The fact that you bought yes is a strong indicator
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 81%
@ahalekelly IN A WAY ITS A TEST TO SEE IF MANIFESTATION IS REAL... there is not much to lose on this bet really so im hoping to see someone ELSE leverage this bet.. just as they do with any future
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 80%
i contribute to ideamarket.io as a mod also, and im just interested in strange usecases for idea markets.. actually Mike the onwer brought me here
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes bought M$100 of YES
Well, i kinda thought thats kinda the bet... someone COULD anyone. including me. This is a test.. fyi.. im not gonna... but yeah im doxxed no problem..
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ahalekelly
👀 is that you
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ahalekelly
How do we know you won't send money to yourself from another wallet
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 77%
@ahalekelly how do you know im not able to do that with ANY financial predication market.. i think thats my point. :) Certainly easy enough with a low cap erc 20 token you might find authorized on UMA protocol for example.
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ahalekelly
Adrian bought M$5 of NO
@ArwynHughes I'm not sure what you mean by the last sentence? Traditionally prediction markets are for things not easily in one person's control
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ArwynHughes
Arwyn Hughes is betting YES at 81%
@ahalekelly depends who you are, i would argue.. one person "might be true" but not really.. a "few million" would be enough to corrupt smaller defi market projects, dont you agree? many people have personal weatlh for and indeed DO that.. they question is.. its that just for the rich? is this a "low cap" version of that? is it insider trading? etc.. all questions we ask with this kind of market..
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ahalekelly
Adrian is betting YES at 81%
@ArwynHughes If anyone can corrupt a market that market will no longer be meaningful. The larger the financial cost to corrupt the market, the more meaningful the market is.
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