Will 4000 be a leap year?
3
21
αΉ69αΉ90
4000
34%
chance
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See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gregorian_calendar#Accuracy -- resolves NO if a proposal such as Sir John Herschel's is officially adopted before 4000. (In case different countries use different calendars by then, resolves based on whichever calendar is used in the Vatican.)
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