When will a new Catholic pope be elected after Francis?
27
400Ṁ4057resolved May 8
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
2025 or earlier
0.4%
2026 or 2027
0.4%
2028 or 2029
0.2%
2030 or later
Resolves according to the time of the "habemus papam" announcement in the Vatican time zone (if the announcement straddles the midnight of 1 January, I will flip a coin).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ123 | |
| 2 | Ṁ103 | |
| 3 | Ṁ97 | |
| 4 | Ṁ83 | |
| 5 | Ṁ63 |