What do you think is the true probability of Biden being the Democratic nominee?
20
resolved Jul 20
50% - 60%
60% - 70%
20% - 30%
30% - 40%
40% - 50%
70% - 80%
> 90%
< 10%
10% - 20%
80% - 90%
What price should this market be at: /NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n
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