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MANIFOLD
Will I be convinced that employees shouldn't buy rolling puts on their employers?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k
resolved Jul 18
Resolved
YES

https://x.com/AriZerner/status/1808381232566399193

Resolves based on my belief at market close, does not resolve early. I will not bet in this market.

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Ari Zerner
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Resolves YES. The point that convinced me is that stock price isn't actually closely tied to employment as I thought. While I continue to think employees should hedge against job loss, I no longer think rolling puts are an effective way to do so.