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Russia has limited access to parts, software, and technical skills needed to carry out critical maintenance on hundreds of commercial jets. U.S. and European sanctions have cut off the Russian carriers from any contact with plane makers, maintenance partners, and many of the suppliers for the planes’ key parts, from engines to landing gear.

Will there be a major (100 or more fatalities, including passengers, crew, and people on land) airplane crash in Russia in 2024?

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