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MANIFOLD
Bitcoin price on August 10?
23
Ṁ1kṀ25k
resolved Sep 11
100%99.7%
62,001-64,000
0.0%
60,000-62,000
0.1%
64,001-66,000
0.1%
66.001-68,000
0.0%
< 60,000
0.0%
> 68,000

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the option that contains the closing price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on August 8, 2026, in UTC time.

  • Source of Truth: The "Close" price for August 8, 2026, on the Yahoo Finance BTC-USD Historical Data page.

  • Resolution Mapping:

    • 60,000-62,000: Price is $\ge $60,000.00$ and $\le $62,000.00$

    • 62,001-64,000: Price is $\ge $62,000.01$ and $\le $64,000.00$

    • 64,001-66,000: Price is $\ge $64,001.00$ and $\le $66,000.00$

    • 66.001-68,000: Price is $\ge $66,000.01$ and $\le $68,000.00$ (resolves the user's typo range)

  • Out-of-Bounds Edge Case: If the closing price is strictly below $$60,000.00$ or strictly above $$68,000.00$, the market will resolve to N/A, as the answers list is disabled for new additions and does not cover these outcomes.

Background

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading in the mid-$64,000s. Macroeconomic conditions—including the release of U.S. employment data and updates on domestic crypto legislation—have kept prices volatile within this range. Because the creator has disabled adding new answers, any price movement outside the $$60,000$ to $$68,000$ bounds on August 8 will result in an N/A resolution.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

  • Update 2026-08-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the closing price of Bitcoin (BTC) on August 10, 2026, rather than August 8 as previously specified in the description.

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Sorry guys. I made a mistake it won't happen again.

I do think resolving this N/A was the right decision. Not because of Spain, which I agree is a bit sketchy because of the changed comment, but because I stumbled upon the market description, and because I bet pretty late yesterday, I saw that clarifying comment and didn't bet on 64k to 66k. But to be fair, some people who didn't read the comment might have been misled into thinking that this unresolved market was free mana.

Resolved as N/A because the auto generated description was incorrect and misleading

@Aram no need for that cc @mods second time today is this like standard now? the description issues had been clarified.

@Aram it was clarified, you should resolve it honestly

@JasonMendoza2008 my apologies. Will be more careful for the next rounds.

@Aram please resolve :)

@Aram please review the evidence of @Spain 's lying to get you to bail them out here. Thanks.

@mods can you take a look at this, seems like pretty clear cut manipulation

I know that i should have read the title, but I bet all my net worth on 64k to 66k because i thought it was august 8 and it was just not resolved yet. Is there any chance this could be marked as N/A. Thanks for considering.

@Spain hmm this is quite fishy...

at 9:13:19 AM EDT you asked to clarify exactly that issue

at 9:16:37 AM the market creator clarified it was for today, not the 8th

at 9:17:31 AM you replied "either way it's between 64 and 66 thousand"

at 9:18:48 AM you bet your whole balance on that option.

then next 10-15 min you edited your previous comment with more flawed, overconfident reasoning twice, then left it at "thanks" ~3 hours later when BTC had tanked to ~64k which you deemed was nearly impossible.

Note your bet and overconfident edits were done after you already knew and you even acknowledge the resolution was on today's close. Now on this comment you claim not to have known. This is all blatantly fraudulent. cc @mods

sold Ṁ147 NO

@Aram

  • Out-of-Bounds Edge Case: If the closing price is strictly below $$60,000.00$ or strictly above $$68,000.00$, the market will resolve to N/A, as the answers list is disabled for new additions and does not cover these outcomes.

those options are there, shouldn't N/A but resolve to them.

I'm confused. Is this the closing price of bitcoin for August 8 or August 10. It says both.

@Spain it should be closing price of BTC on August 10. The description was generated automatically and might be wrong. Will review it for the next rounds.

Thanks