This market resolves based on whether there is definitive public confirmation that Elena Ferrante is a male author. Resolution requires credible evidence and widespread acknowledgment from reputable news sources.

Resolution criteria: Market resolves YES if major news outlets (NYT, Guardian, major Italian media) report conclusive evidence that Elena Ferrante is male. Market resolves NO if no such confirmation occurs by close date.

References:

• https://lithub.com/have-italian-scholars-figured-out-the-identity-of-elena-ferrante/

• https://jimclarke.net/index.php/2021/04/14/elena-ferrante-is-a-man-but-does-it-matter/