![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FAnonymousAnonymous%2F6co1d2ygtb.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Conditional on Gavin Newsom becoming the Democratic Nominee, will the Democrats win the election?
Basic
26
Ṁ2.5kNov 6
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if Gavin Newsom is not the nominee
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Conditional upon the Democratic party replacing Joe Biden as nominee, will they win the election?
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2024?
7% chance
If Gavin Newsom debates Donald Trump before the 2024 election, will Newsom win? (from polls)
82% chance
If Gavin Newsom is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election?
51% chance
Will Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
36% chance
If Gavin Newsom runs in the Democratic Primary in 2024, will he be the Democratic nominee?
31% chance
If Joe Biden is not the Democratic presidential nominee, will it be Harris or Newsom?
82% chance
Will Gavin Newsom ever be elected President?
22% chance
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom (D))
48% chance