(new betting discouraged) How will SalemCenter's "China Reaches 100,000 Covid Cases by Winter" market resolve?
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1.7kṀ290k
resolved Mar 3
Resolved
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Will resolve to match https://salemcenter.manifold.markets/SalemCenter/china-reaches-100000-covid-cases-by

This market resolves as YES if China reports a 7-day rolling average of at least 100,000 covid-19 cases at any point between the opening of the market and February 28, 2023. Source for settling the market will be Our World in Data at the link below.

https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer

Should that source be unavailable, a suitable alternative will be found.

The current 7-day rolling average (November 26) is 25,834:

https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?time=2022-08-11..latest&facet=none&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=false&Color+by+test+positivity=false&country=~CHN&Metric=Confirmed+cases

December 27: the title has been changed to "(new betting discouraged) How will SalemCenter's "China Reaches 100,000 Covid Cases by Winter" market resolve?" -

Please read this update before participating in this market.

Dec 22, 8:06pm: Will China reach 100,000 daily Covid Cases by February 28, 2023? → Will China report 100,000 daily Covid Cases by February 28, 2023?

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