Update 2024-17-12 (PST): - Market will resolve before the end of the year (2023) (AI summary of creator comment)

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 38% chance (3 traders, as of Dec 1, 2025).

Will @derikk send out his next email list email before I do?

Will @derikk send out his next email list email before I do?

Ṁ1kṀ269

Dec 1

38%

chance

ALL

Update 2024-17-12 (PST): - Market will resolve before the end of the year (2023) (AI summary of creator comment)

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@AndrewG will these resolve? If it passed / never happened it can also be N/Aed

@Bayesian nobody's sent out a newsletter yet!

@AndrewG but I'm aiming to send one out before the end of the year

@AndrewG haha okay good luck!

bought Ṁ250 NO

@AndrewG are all of these asking the same thing?

@Bayesian yeah, there was a bug and now there's four identical markets

@AndrewG lmk if you want me to N/A 3 of them (or maybe non-mods can do it too now i forget?) but I bet it all on you 4 times, no pressure hehe