This market predicts whether Dwarkesh Patel will be implicated in a major conflict of interest scandal involving a guest and one of his investments by August 4, 2025. Resolution will be based on credible news reports from reputable sources such as The New York Times, The Guardian, or BBC News. Reporting from 5x Substacks with over 20,000 subscribers (each) would also count as a credible news report from a reputable sources.

Reference: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLBsUarvWTw

In April 17, 2025 inverview with Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu, Dwarkesh is an angel investor in the firm they are launching (https://www.mechanize.work/) but does not acknowledge it in the podcast. Instead, he adds it in a parenthetical statement in the video description. This could provide insight into further lack of financial disclosure about compensation