Will I post about working olympiad-prediction-system on LessWrong in 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ111
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

#️ Technology
#Machine Learning
#LessWrong
#Blogs
#Competitive Programming
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ55
2Ṁ5
Sort by:

Will you?

@GazDownright If I complete it, almost certainly!

bought Ṁ5 NO

Sounds interesting!

@ian I also believe that after a bit of reworking it could be used for Manifold, and maybe even publicly: ask users for their self-estimated interest vectors and maybe even goals like "want to read more about technology but less about crypto", calculate actual interest and belief vectors, subsidize new markets accordingly!

Related to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ugAPqiEs2nhdEoteS/user-inclination-guessing-algorithms-registering-a-goal.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules