I have a friend who we will call RG (these are his initials). RG identifies as an Indian male. He most recently qualified for the USAMO in his junior year. He has also qualified for USACO Platinum. He will very likely be residing in California at the time that this market resolves. The letters R, O, H, A, N, and G are all in RG's full name. RG also is or has been a counselor at a math camp.

This market resolves to YES if RG scores at least 21 points on the USA IMO TST, and NO otherwise.

Feel free to guess who RG is in the comments. I won't reveal this, though it should be really obvious.

• Update 2025-07-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The total TST score is the sum of the scores from the December and January TSTs. The USAMO score is not included.