Will TikTok be banned in the US or forced to change ownership by this month?
Mini
28
15k
2025
5%
Apr 2024
0.2%
May 2024
0.1%
Jun 2024
8%
July 2024
8%
Aug 2024
8%
Sep 2024
10%
Oct 2024
15%
Nov 2024
15%
Dec 2024
19%
Jan 2025
50%
Feb 2025
52%
Mar 2025
48%
Apr 2025
47%
May 2025
54%
Jun 2025
62%
July 2025
61%
Aug 2025
63%
Sep 2025

This market resolves when Tiktok has either been banned in the US, or has changed ownership

Example of what counts as banned in the US:
Tiktok app no long appears on US ios app store

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bought Ṁ2,000 May 2024 NO

@AmmonLam April and May can resolve as NO, thank you!

bought Ṁ10 Nov 2024 NO

clarifying, a bill passing which lays out conditions under which tiktok would be banned does not in itself count as a ban, right? the app would actually have to be banned from the app stores?

bought Ṁ10 Dec 2024 NO

@AmmonLam thanks for the clarification, in that case i’m betting this down since i expect a long time in between the bill passing and the ban actually being instated

@turtlepurple added more answers with a longer horizon so you can bet accordingly

@AmmonLam thank you! wait, will any of these individual months resolve NO before the market as a whole expires? (wondering because cash flow constrained)

@turtlepurple once each month ended I would resolve it