Will TikTok be banned in the US or forced to change ownership by this month?
53
1.7kį¹€27k
resolved May 5
Resolved
NO
Mar 2024
Resolved
NO
Apr 2024
Resolved
NO
May 2024
Resolved
NO
Jun 2024
Resolved
NO
July 2024
Resolved
NO
Aug 2024
Resolved
NO
Sep 2024
Resolved
NO
Oct 2024
Resolved
NO
Nov 2024
Resolved
NO
Jan 2025
Resolved
NO
Dec 2024
Resolved
YES
Feb 2025
Resolved
YES
Mar 2025
Resolved
YES
Apr 2025
Resolved
YES
May 2025
Resolved
YES
Jun 2025
Resolved
YES
July 2025
Resolved
YES
Aug 2025
Resolved
YES
Sep 2025

This market resolves when Tiktok has either been banned in the US, or has changed ownership

Example of what counts as banned in the US:
Tiktok app no long appears on US ios app store

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bought į¹€5 YES

Should this resolve YES? Description indicates that all Markets resolve at the same time as soon as TikTok is meaningfully banned, without mentioning duration.

@AmmonLam These should all be resolved yes.

@AmmonLam Can these be resolved YES, thank you!

@AmmonLam A bunch of these can resolve.

@mods April, May, and June can resolve and make me a paid creator and I'll resolve things in a timely manner...

bought į¹€2,000 NO

@AmmonLam April and May can resolve as NO, thank you!

bought į¹€10 NO

clarifying, a bill passing which lays out conditions under which tiktok would be banned does not in itself count as a ban, right? the app would actually have to be banned from the app stores?

bought į¹€10 NO

@AmmonLam thanks for the clarification, in that case i’m betting this down since i expect a long time in between the bill passing and the ban actually being instated

@turtlepurple added more answers with a longer horizon so you can bet accordingly

@AmmonLam thank you! wait, will any of these individual months resolve NO before the market as a whole expires? (wondering because cash flow constrained)

@turtlepurple once each month ended I would resolve it

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